Analysis of the “bump” caused by the Republican and Democratic National Conventions.
Here’s a look at the bump caused by the two major conventions. Both events caused an increase in the number of people comparing the Democratic and Republican parties but the DNC caused a bigger spike.
And what of the candidates? More people where comparing Romney and Obama on each day of the DNC than after the crowning moment of the RNC i.e. Romney’s speech. So it seems that Michelle Obama, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama all had more of an impact than Romney.
In other interesting developments, the Democrats have edged the Republicans on the ratings scale. After being stuck at 3.8 for a loong time, the Democratic party now has a rating of 3.9 and the Republicans are still at 3.8.
Obama’s rating is 3.9 compared to Romney’s 3.4 but that should be taken with a grain of salt because Obama’s rating has a historical advantage from the previous election.
Joe Biden vs Paul Ryan ratings
Biden’s rating includes votes from the 2008 election comparison so it’s not going to be an apples-to-apples comparison with Paul Ryan immediately. This snapshot is a good indication of their starting scores so when we examine their ratings a few months from now we’ll know how each candidate did.
Behavioral psychologists will tell you (and we would too) to take these ratings with a pinch of salt. Biden performed well because in the last election he was being compared to Palin. His ratings would most likely have been lower if people were rating him on a page that compared him to Obama instead. So making note of this starting line is important because come November, we’ll be able to do a more accurate head-to-head comparison of Ryan with Biden, without letting Biden take advantage of his former comparison with Palin.